Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.