

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 37.07% ( | 24.77% ( | 38.17% ( | 
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.44% ( | 44.56% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.07% ( | 66.93% ( | 
| Vitesse Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.27% ( | 23.73% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.13% ( | 57.86% ( | 
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.85% ( | 23.15% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.97% ( | 57.03% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.07%  | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%  | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.17%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 | 
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 | 
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 | 
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
