

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 37.29% ( | 25% ( | 37.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( | 45.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( | 67.98% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( | 24.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.59% ( | 58.41% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( | 23.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.91% ( | 58.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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