

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 24.26% ( | 23.54% ( | 52.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( | 45.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( | 67.54% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( | 32.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.85% ( | 69.15% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( | 17.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.33% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 2-1 @ 6.22% ( 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.26% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0-3 @ 5.08% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0-4 @ 2.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.82% Total : 52.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Heracles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
