MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 00:39:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Go Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 25, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Adelaarshorst
AZ Alkmaar

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 4
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pavlidis (38'), Mihailovic (57'), Sugawara (87'), Buurmeester (90+5')
Hatzidiakos (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 3-1 Sittard
Sunday, January 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

We believe that history will once again repeat itself and that AZ Alkmaar will come out victorious in this matchup. We feel that Go Ahead Eagles will put up significant resistance, however, AZ Alkmaar will be too strong for the hosts and will subsequently end Go Ahead Eagles' 11-game unbeaten streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar
24.53% (-0.188 -0.19) 23.41% (-0.609 -0.61) 52.06% (0.804 0.8)
Both teams to score 56.43% (1.806 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (2.491 2.49)44.39% (-2.483 -2.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (2.369 2.37)66.76% (-2.363 -2.36)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (1.187 1.19)31.95% (-1.18 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (1.331 1.33)68.41% (-1.324 -1.32)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (1.234 1.23)17.07% (-1.227 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.76% (2.135 2.14)47.24% (-2.129 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 24.53%
    AZ Alkmaar 52.06%
    Draw 23.41%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.475 -0.48)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.53%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.213 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.609 -0.61)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.648 -0.65)
0-2 @ 8.52% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.262 0.26)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.249 0.25)
1-4 @ 2.53% (0.211 0.21)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.119 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 52.06%

How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ

Go Ahead Eagles
15.7%
Draw
14.5%
AZ Alkmaar
69.9%
83
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 3.45pm
Feb 13, 2022 11.15am
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Brouwers (25')
Beukema (28', 85'), Pavlidis (33', 42')
Midtsjo (15')
Sep 26, 2021 1.30pm
AZ
5-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Karlsson (4', 83' pen.), De Wit (29'), Aboukhlal (86'), Reijnders (90+1')
de Wit (51'), Pavlidis (58')

Hahn (82'), Deijl (90'), Nauber (90+1')
Jan 13, 2017 7pm
Go Ahead Eagles
1-3
AZ
Antonia (89' pen.)
Achenteh (81')
Weghorst (69'), Jahanbakhsh (85', 93')
Jahanbakhsh (81'), Weghorst (81'), Johansson (88'), Bel Hassani (91')
Sep 24, 2016 7.45pm
AZ
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
Weghorst (36' pen., 52')
Luckassen (38')
Duits (66'), Hendriks (87')
Lambooij (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV29204586335364
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente29139755411448
6AZ AlkmaarAZ29137947331446
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Heracles29811103648-1235
10Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
11NECNijmegen2996144243-133
12Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
13Groningen2988132844-1632
14PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2987143149-1831
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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