Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 68.26% ( | 17.59% ( | 14.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.57% ( | 33.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.78% ( | 55.21% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.05% ( | 8.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.46% ( | 30.53% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( | 36.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.94% ( | 73.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 4-1 @ 4.66% ( 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 6-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.26% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.59% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 1-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 42 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Ajax | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 36 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 12 |
| 18 | Groningen | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 |
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