

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 16 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 16 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 6 | 0 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a FC Twente win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
| 62.01% ( | 20.85% ( | 17.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% ( | 42.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( | 65.15% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( | 13.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.99% ( | 40% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( | 38.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.91% ( | 75.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 5-1 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 62.01% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.85% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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