| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | NEC | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 20.42% ( | 20.78% ( | 58.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( | 37.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( | 59.33% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( | 31.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.07% ( | 67.92% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( | 12.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.7% ( | 38.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 2-0 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 3-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 20.42% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0-3 @ 5.93% ( 2-3 @ 3.95% ( 1-4 @ 3.57% ( 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0-5 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 4.07% Total : 58.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| 2 | Ajax | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 63 | 22 | 41 | 46 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 51 | -31 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
| 17 | Groningen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 13 |
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