Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southend United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Southend United | 
| 32.71% ( | 24.88% ( | 42.42% ( | 
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.18% ( | 45.83% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.86% ( | 68.14% ( | 
| Torquay United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.17% | 26.83% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.87% ( | 62.13% ( | 
| Southend United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.38% ( | 21.62% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.27% ( | 54.73% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Torquay United | Draw | Southend United | 
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.71%  | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.87%  | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.42%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 | 
| 3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 | 
| 6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 | 
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 | 
| 8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 | 
| 9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 | 
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 | 
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 | 
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 | 
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 | 
| 18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 | 
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 | 
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 | 
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 | 
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