MX23RW : Saturday, March 22 04:38:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Barrow
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Canavan (61'), Gordon (74')
Neal (58'), Whitfield (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jenkins (5')
Ogundere (24'), Currie (55'), Little (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-0 AFC Wimbledon

With their attacking threat nullified by Crawley, a Wimbledon side still beset by injuries and international call-ups should not snap their dampening winless run at Holker Street. Low-scoring contests have been the theme for Barrow in recent weeks, and while Wild's squad has also undergone a mini-reshuffle, the hosts can harness their defensive specialities to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawAFC Wimbledon
44%29.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 41.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35% (0.0030000000000001 0)65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.11% (0.0019999999999989 0)83.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (0.0019999999999953 0)65.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 44%
    AFC Wimbledon 26.61%
    Draw 29.37%
BarrowDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.95%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.02%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 44%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 12.26%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.37%
0-1 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 26.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs AFC Wimbledon

Barrow
Draw
AFC Wimbledon
Barrow
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
AFC Wimbledon
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Barrow

Marsh (30'), Brown (54')
Gordon (10')
Foley (31'), Gordon (41')
Nov 26, 2020 7.45pm
First Round
Barrow
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon win 4-2 on penalties

Gribbin (40'), Hird (57'), Kay (90+5')

Nightingale (35'), Palmer (57'), Guinness-Walker (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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