Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.