
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Altrincham |
| 58.53% ( | 21.62% ( | 19.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( | 41.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% ( | 64.3% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( | 14.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.44% ( | 41.56% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.41% ( | 71.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 5-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.53% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 88 |
| 2 | York City | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 70 | 37 | 33 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 66 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 57 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 56 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 54 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 51 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
| 15 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 48 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 47 |
| 17 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 |
| 19 | Woking | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 41 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 21 | Fylde | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 39 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 44 | 70 | -26 | 38 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 37 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 83 | -53 | 18 |
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