Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | York City | 
| 62.65% (  1.87) | 20.25% (  -0.68) | 17.09% (  -1.19) | 
| Both teams to score 55.46% (  -0.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.88% (  1.09) | 40.12% (  -1.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.51% (  1.12) | 62.48% (  -1.12) | 
| Barnet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.75% (  0.87) | 12.24% (  -0.88) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.04% (  1.81) | 37.95% (  -1.81) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.19% (  -0.7) | 36.8% (  0.7) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.4% (  -0.71) | 73.59% (  0.7) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barnet | Draw | York City | 
| 2-0 @ 9.94% (  0.17) 2-1 @ 9.93% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.46% (  -0.16) 3-0 @ 6.96% (  0.34) 3-1 @ 6.96% (  0.22) 4-0 @ 3.65% (  0.29) 4-1 @ 3.65% (  0.23) 3-2 @ 3.48% (  0.04) 4-2 @ 1.83% (  0.08) 5-0 @ 1.54% (  0.17) 5-1 @ 1.53% (  0.14) Other @ 3.74% Total : 62.65% | 1-1 @ 9.46% (  -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.97% (  -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.51% (  -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.16% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 4.73% (  -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.5% (  -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.25% (  -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.65% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.58% (  -0.12) Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.09% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 | 
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 | 
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 62 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 60 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 56 | 
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 55 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 | 
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 50 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 | 
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 46 | 
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 | 
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 | 
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 | 
| 21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 37 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 37 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 36 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 | 
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