We said: Wrexham 1-1 Stockport County
Wrexham will be looking to make full use of home advantage against one of their promotion rivals, but we have to take into account that Stockport have lost just once in 12 matches, and with that in mind, we think that they will do enough to hold the Red Dragons to a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.