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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Stockport County

Bolton
0 - 1
Stockport


McAtee (45'), Matete (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olaofe (72')
Knoyle (6'), Camps (60'), Bate (63'), Moxon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Stockport County

With just two points separating them and plenty at stake in the playoff race, we envisage a tight contest in Lancashire on Saturday. Having seen their momentum slowed and their unbeaten run halted by a midweek defeat, Bolton may be held on home turf given the similar quality between the sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawStockport County
43.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.34% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 31.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (0.038000000000004 0.04)48.38% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)70.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (0.019000000000005 0.02)55.72% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.028999999999996 0.03)28.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)64.88% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 43.34%
    Stockport County 31.31%
    Draw 25.34%
Bolton WanderersDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.31%

How you voted: Bolton vs Stockport

Bolton Wanderers
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Stockport County
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stockport
5-0
Bolton
Collar (30'), Wootton (47'), Horsfall (55'), Barry (62'), Bailey (90')
Collar (67')
Nov 14, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Stockport
0-2
Bolton

Pond (45+2')
Dadi Bodvarsson (37', 45+1')
Thomason (88')
Nov 17, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Stockport
5-3
Bolton
Madden (24' pen.), Quigley (45', 95'), Palmer (85'), Crankshaw (119')
Madden (33'), Crankshaw (120+1')
Kachunga (2'), Palmer (6' og.), Bakayoko (28')
Sheehan (34'), Isgrove (81'), Kachunga (88'), Amaechi (102')
Nov 7, 2021 3pm
First Round
Bolton
2-2
Stockport
Doyle (33'), Kachunga (36')
Isgrove (11'), Kachunga (68'), Santos (78')
Quigley (23'), Whitfield (45+2')
Madden (82')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stockport
0-0
Bolton
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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