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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Stockport County

Bolton
0 - 1
Stockport


McAtee (45'), Matete (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olaofe (72')
Knoyle (6'), Camps (60'), Bate (63'), Moxon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Stockport County

With just two points separating them and plenty at stake in the playoff race, we envisage a tight contest in Lancashire on Saturday. Having seen their momentum slowed and their unbeaten run halted by a midweek defeat, Bolton may be held on home turf given the similar quality between the sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawStockport County
43.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.34% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 31.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (0.038000000000004 0.04)48.38% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)70.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (0.019000000000005 0.02)55.72% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.028999999999996 0.03)28.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)64.88% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 43.34%
    Stockport County 31.31%
    Draw 25.34%
Bolton WanderersDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.31%

How you voted: Bolton vs Stockport

Bolton Wanderers
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Stockport County
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stockport
5-0
Bolton
Collar (30'), Wootton (47'), Horsfall (55'), Barry (62'), Bailey (90')
Collar (67')
Nov 14, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Stockport
0-2
Bolton

Pond (45+2')
Dadi Bodvarsson (37', 45+1')
Thomason (88')
Nov 17, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Stockport
5-3
Bolton
Madden (24' pen.), Quigley (45', 95'), Palmer (85'), Crankshaw (119')
Madden (33'), Crankshaw (120+1')
Kachunga (2'), Palmer (6' og.), Bakayoko (28')
Sheehan (34'), Isgrove (81'), Kachunga (88'), Amaechi (102')
Nov 7, 2021 3pm
First Round
Bolton
2-2
Stockport
Doyle (33'), Kachunga (36')
Isgrove (11'), Kachunga (68'), Santos (78')
Quigley (23'), Whitfield (45+2')
Madden (82')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stockport
0-0
Bolton
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham41299373294496
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe432412769373284
3Wrexham432411860332783
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4323101060392179
5Stockport CountyStockport432212964382678
6Leyton Orient432161665461969
7Reading431912125952769
8Bolton WanderersBolton43206176364-166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43197175546964
10Blackpool4216151166541263
11Lincoln CityLincoln431513155849958
12Barnsley43169186368-557
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham431510185156-555
14Exeter CityExeter431411184558-1353
15Stevenage421410183947-852
16Wigan AthleticWigan421214163639-350
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough421310196373-1049
18Mansfield TownMansfield42139205262-1048
19Northampton TownNorthampton431114184361-1847
20Burton Albion421013194459-1543
21Bristol Rovers43127244369-2643
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43911234267-2538
23Crawley TownCrawley43910244981-3237
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4379273772-3530


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