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League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Birmingham logo

Bolton
3 - 1
Birmingham

McAtee (39'), Thomason (49'), Collins (71')
McAtee (53'), Morley (61'), Forino-Joseph (90+8'), Forino-Joseph (90+8'), Osei-Tutu (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hansson (23')
Gardner-Hickman (48'), Klarer (90+9'), Harris (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Birmingham City

Birmingham are on a roll, and look like they are capable of beating anyone in League One at the moment. Bolton have improved under Schumacher and will not be an easy test for the Blues, but we do expect the visitors to edge past them in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBirmingham City
32.39% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08) 25.44% (-0.265 -0.27) 42.17% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (1.123 1.12)48.44% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (1.017 1.02)70.57% (-1.011 -1.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.50399999999999 0.5)28.31% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (0.627 0.63)64.04% (-0.621 -0.62)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.664 0.66)22.86% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (0.96599999999999 0.97)56.59% (-0.96 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 32.39%
    Birmingham City 42.17%
    Draw 25.44%
Bolton WanderersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.265 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.093000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.255 -0.25)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.38% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.109 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.17%

How you voted: Bolton vs Birmingham

Bolton Wanderers
40.4%
Draw
15.4%
Birmingham City
44.2%
52
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Birmingham
2-0
Bolton
Iwata (3'), Stansfield (86' pen.)
Klarer (87')

Dempsey (18'), Cogley (24'), Matete (39'), McAtee (78')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-1
Bolton

Harding (60')
Connolly (71')
Connolly (69'), Noone (96')
Aug 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
1-0
Birmingham
Buckley (73')
Buckley (75'), Olkowski (87')

Kieftenbeld (14'), Gardner (71'), Pedersen (83')
Apr 3, 2018 8pm
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham38278365263989
2Wrexham40239856322478
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe392112665362975
4Charlton AthleticCharlton402191055361972
5Stockport CountyStockport402011958362271
6Bolton WanderersBolton39196146157463
7Reading391711115550562
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield391871452391361
9Blackpool4015151062511160
10Leyton Orient391851655401559
11Barnsley40159165457-354
12Lincoln CityLincoln401411155446853
13Stevenage391310163542-749
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough39139176166-548
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham39139174449-548
16Exeter CityExeter39139174254-1248
17Mansfield TownMansfield39138184654-847
18Wigan AthleticWigan381111163438-444
19Northampton TownNorthampton401013173859-2143
20Bristol Rovers40126224165-2442
21Burton Albion39912184156-1539
22Crawley TownCrawley4099224775-2836
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge40711223965-2632
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3978243566-3129


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