League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bolton3 - 1Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in League One
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Northampton Town
Northampton have gone nine games without registering multiple goals and have to go back to September for the last time they scored more than once in a League One away match, two harbingers of doom for their midweek trip to Bolton. Nolan's men should not be torn to shreds defensively, but if a morale-boosted Bolton can find their way through - which they almost certainly will - we cannot envisage the goal-shy visitors responding. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Northampton Town |
66.28% ( -0.02) | 19.91% ( 0.01) | 13.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
