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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 2pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Lincoln City

Northampton
0 - 1
Lincoln


Eyoma (59'), Fosu (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Darikwa (38')
House (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, January 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Lincoln City

With Northampton having finally got another win on the board, they have the momentum heading into this contest. However, given that they only defeated the bottom-placed side, we are backing the visitors to edge this fixture and secure a morale-boosting three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLincoln City
26.45% (0.231 0.23) 26.53% (0.113 0.11) 47.02% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.275 -0.27)55.6% (0.27399999999999 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.225 -0.23)76.76% (0.223 0.22)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.044999999999995 0.04)36.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.047000000000001 0.05)73.19% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.28 -0.28)23.64% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.404 -0.4)57.73% (0.403 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.45%
    Lincoln City 47.02%
    Draw 26.53%
Northampton TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 26.45%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 12.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.02%

How you voted: Northampton vs Lincoln

Northampton Town
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Lincoln City
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
Hamer (18'), Ring (88')
House (43'), Draper (89'), Wickens (90+4')
Fosu (2')
Baldwin (17'), Brady (18'), Roberts (35'), McGeehan (62'), Guthrie (90+3'), Guinness-Walker (90+4')
Roberts (75')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
1-2
Northampton
Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')
Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Northampton
2-2
Lincoln
Appere (86'), Hoskins (90+8')
Hoskins (80')
Hackett (22'), O'Connor (78')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
McGrandles (75'), Scully (84')
Bridcutt (77')
Rose (90+6')
Jones (36')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
0-4
Lincoln

Bolger (56')
Scully (2'), Hopper (42'), Johnson (83', 90+8')
Montsma (36'), Hopper (73'), Scully (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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