League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Reading4 - 1Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Reading
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Northampton 0-5 Charlton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Reading 2-0 Northampton Town
While Northampton could be boosted by a different voice in the dressing room, the hosts should secure a routine win on Boxing Day. Reading have the fifth-best home return in League One, and that statistic should be advantageous against an opponent winless in their last eight road matches (five losses). Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Northampton Town |
65.54% ( 0.06) | 19.69% ( -0.03) | 14.77% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
