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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
2 - 0
Northampton

Kemp (89'), Reid (90+1')
Piergianni (2'), Revell (3'), White (45'), Thompson (52')
Revell (0')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eaves (2'), Odimayo (18'), McGeehan (51')
Eaves (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Northampton Town

Both clubs have struggled for form this season, though Stevenage have a commendable defensive record and Northampton are facing a major injury crisis. However, Jon Brady's team have managed to score 19 goals this term despite their circumstances, eight more than Revell's side, and this greater attacking threat could see them come out narrow winners on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
52.98% (-0.376 -0.38) 25.65% (0.398 0.4) 21.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.95% (-1.121 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-1.462 -1.46)56.4% (1.456 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-1.194 -1.19)77.41% (1.188 1.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.747 -0.75)21.34% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-1.163 -1.16)54.3% (1.158 1.16)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41% (-0.865 -0.87)41.59% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.92% (-0.767 -0.77)78.07% (0.761 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.97%
    Northampton Town 21.37%
    Draw 25.64%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.485 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.37%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-0
Northampton
Reid (2'), Roberts (42'), List (67')

Sowerby (52')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Northampton
0-1
Stevenage

Odimayo (17'), Hoskins (69')
Piergianni (80')
Piergianni (4'), Evans (5'), Butler (88'), Burns (90+13')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
2-3
Northampton
Rose (35'), Gilbey (85')
Appere (1' pen.), Bowie (82'), McWilliams (87')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Lines (82')
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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