

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Northampton Town | 
| 52.98% (  -0.38) | 25.65% (  0.4) | 21.37% (  -0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 45.95% (  -1.12) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.6% (  -1.46) | 56.4% (  1.46) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.59% (  -1.19) | 77.41% (  1.19) | 
| Stevenage Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.66% (  -0.75) | 21.34% (  0.74) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.7% (  -1.16) | 54.3% (  1.16) | 
| Northampton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.41% (  -0.87) | 41.59% (  0.86) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.92% (  -0.77) | 78.07% (  0.76) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Stevenage | Draw | Northampton Town | 
| 1-0 @ 13.7% (  0.45) 2-0 @ 10.58% (  0.11) 2-1 @ 9.29% (  -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.45% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.78% (  -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.11% (  -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.1% (  -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.85% (  -0.11) Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 12.02% (  0.12) 0-0 @ 8.87% (  0.49) 2-2 @ 4.08% (  -0.15) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.79% (  0.25) 1-2 @ 5.28% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.42% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 1% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.37% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
