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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Crawley Town

Northampton
3 - 0
Crawley

Fosu (16'), Williams (30' og.), Pinnock (55')
Fox (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Darcy (75'), Williams (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Crawley Town

While Crawley did impress in their recent win, Northampton are in much better form heading into this game, and with them also boasting the home advantage, we expect the hosts to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
36.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 38.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.026000000000003 0.03)46.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.88% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)25.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.85% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.026000000000003 0.03)58.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 36.21%
    Crawley Town 38.59%
    Draw 25.19%
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.59%

How you voted: Northampton vs Crawley

Northampton Town
46.2%
Draw
30.8%
Crawley Town
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
2-3
Northampton
Balagizi (4', 61')
Hoskins (13', 23'), Bowie (90+2')
Hylton (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Northampton
0-1
Crawley

Horsfall (90+3')
Nichols (41')
Lynch (9'), Ashford (87')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
4-0
Northampton
Ferguson (27'), Lubala (62'), Palmer (80'), Bloomfield (84')

McCormack (44'), Wharton (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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