Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Estudiantes

Botafogo
3 - 2
Estudiantes

Seco (42', 42'), Jesus (52', 52'), Artur (85', 85')
Cuiabano (90'), Cuiabano (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Palacios (62' pen., 62' pen., 77', 77')
Ascacibar (19'), Ascacibar (19'), Arzamendia (65'), Arzamendia (65'), Meza (90+3'), Meza (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 4-0 Internacional
Monday, May 12 at 12am in Brasileiro

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Rosario 2-0 Estudiantes
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawEstudiantes
56.06% (-1.607 -1.61)25.49% (0.699 0.7)18.45% (0.903 0.9)
Both teams to score 42.31% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.03% (-1.255 -1.26)58.97% (1.25 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55% (-0.983 -0.98)79.45% (0.97799999999999 0.98)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (-1.143 -1.14)21.11% (1.138 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (-1.808 -1.81)53.95% (1.803 1.8)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.64% (0.366 0.37)46.36% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18% (0.279 0.28)81.99% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 56.05%
    Estudiantes 18.45%
    Draw 25.49%
BotafogoDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 15.22% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 11.83% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.229 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.454 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.423 0.42)
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.148 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 18.45%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Estudiantes
1-0
Botafogo
Carrillo (38')
Medina (24'), Meza (59'), Carrillo (61'), Nunez (71')
rhs 2.0
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