Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 30, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo4 - 0Capital Brasilia
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Botafogo and Capital Brasilia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, April 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
6
Last Game: Capital Brasilia 3-1 Porto Velho
Wednesday, March 12 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, March 12 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 81.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Capital Brasilia had a probability of 6.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Capital Brasilia win it was 0-1 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Capital Brasilia |
81.73% ( -0.22) | 12.1% ( -0.18) | 6.16% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 46% ( 3.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
