Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 0
Cagliari

McTominay (42'), Lukaku (51')
Politano (31'), Lukaku (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Makoumbou (31')

Reaction

Napoli's Scott McTominay pictured on May 23, 2025

Napoli 2-0 Cagliari: Scott McTominay scores magnificent bicycle kick as Antonio Conte's men clinch Serie A title

Scott McTominay scores a sensational bicycle kick as Napoli beat Cagliari 2-0 to win the Serie A title and dethrone Inter Milan, who beat Como on Friday.

May 23, 20:48

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 3-0 Venezia
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.3%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 7.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.58%) and 1-0 (11.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Cagliari
78.3% ( 0.34)	14.58% ( -0.12)	7.12% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 41.6% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.37% (

-0.31)

40.63% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.98% (

-0.31)

63.01% (

0.31)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.54% (

8.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.65% (

0.01)

29.35% (

-0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.45% (

-0.8)

54.55% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.39% (

-0.49)

87.61% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Napoli 78.28%

Cagliari 7.12%

Draw 14.58%

Napoli	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.61% Total : 78.28%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.47% Total : 14.58%	0-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.23% Total : 7.12%

How you voted: Napoli vs Cagliari

Napoli

84.1%

Draw

10.6%

Cagliari

5.3%

Head to Head

Sep 15, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 4

Cagliari

0-4

Napoli

Mina (75')

Di Lorenzo (18'), Kvaratskhelia (66'), Lukaku (70'), Buongiorno (90+3')
Lobotka (42'), Lukaku (57')

> Preview

Feb 25, 2024 2pm

Gameweek 26

Cagliari

1-1

Napoli

Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')

Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')

> Preview

Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 16

Napoli

2-1

Cagliari

Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')

Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')

> Preview

Feb 21, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 26

Cagliari

1-1

Napoli

Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')

Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')

> Preview

Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 6

Napoli

2-0

Cagliari

Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')

Walukiewicz (59')

> Preview

Form Guide

Hellas Verona 0-2 Cagliari

Cagliari 1-2 Fiorentina

Inter Milan 3-1 Cagliari

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table