Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Napoli |
18.29% (![]() | 23.31% (![]() | 58.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% (![]() | 51.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% (![]() | 73.12% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.98% (![]() | 42.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% (![]() | 78.46% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.71% (![]() | 17.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.37% (![]() | 47.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.3% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.29% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 12.75% 0-2 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |