

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Napoli |
| 29.97% ( | 24.85% ( | 45.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( | 46.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( | 69.09% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( | 29.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.95% ( | 65.05% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( | 20.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.56% ( | 53.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.97% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 71 |
| 2 | Napoli | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 71 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 61 |
| 4 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 | Roma | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 57 |
| 6 | Bologna | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Lazio | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Como | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 32 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Parma | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 26 |
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 24 |
| 19 | Empoli | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 24 |
| 20 | Monza | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 15 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
