Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-3 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 2-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
| 12.99% ( | 16.01% ( | 71% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.78% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.99% ( | 49.01% ( |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( | 34.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.99% ( | 71% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.93% | 7.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.2% ( | 25.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 3.68% ( 1-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 2-0 @ 1.39% ( 3-1 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 12.99% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0-0 @ 2.42% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.01% | 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 1-3 @ 8.04% 0-3 @ 7.52% ( 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 1-4 @ 5.33% ( 0-4 @ 4.98% ( 2-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-4 @ 2.85% 1-5 @ 2.82% ( 0-5 @ 2.64% ( 2-5 @ 1.51% 1-6 @ 1.25% ( 0-6 @ 1.17% ( 3-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 71% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
