Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Lyon

Nice
0 - 2
Lyon

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cherki (78'), Nuamah (83')
Kumbedi (4'), Tolisso (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: FCSB 1-3 Lyon
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawLyon
30.36% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)24.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.97% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (-0.012 -0.01)43.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.62% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)27.04% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.41% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83%19.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 30.36%
    Lyon 45.54%
    Draw 24.09%
NiceDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.1%
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 45.54%

How you voted: Nice vs Lyon

Nice
38.8%
Draw
26.5%
Lyon
34.7%
49
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 13
Lyon
4-1
Nice
Lacazette (4', 41', 69' pen.), Veretout (43')
Tagliafico (90+1')
Diop (22')
Boudaoui (54'), Louchet (90+6')
Feb 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 22
Lyon
1-0
Nice
Mangala (22')
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
0-0
Lyon
Tagliafico (90'), Caleta-Car (90+2'), Alvero (90+5'), Alvero (90+4')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Nice
3-1
Lyon
Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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