Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lyon |
30.36% (![]() | 24.09% (![]() | 45.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.77% (![]() | 43.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.37% (![]() | 65.62% (![]() |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% (![]() | 27.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.59% (![]() | 62.41% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.83% | 19.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.17% (![]() | 50.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 7.32% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 9.25% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.24% Total : 45.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |