Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 16, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 4
Lyon

Coulibaly (38')
Coulibaly (29'), Delort (34'), Sainte-Luce (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mikautadze (3'), Nuamah (50'), Tolisso (53'), Lacazette (73')
Tagliafico (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Reims
Sunday, February 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lyon
18.48% ( -0.63)	20.54% ( -0.1)	60.98% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.96% (

-0.55)

39.03% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.64% (

-0.58)

61.35% (

0.58)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4% (

-0.98)

34.6% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.68% (

-1.06)

71.31% (

1.06)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.62% (

0.04)

12.38% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.76% (

0.08)

38.24% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 18.48%

Lyon 60.98%

Draw 20.54%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 4.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.84% Total : 18.48%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.54%	1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.98%