MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:37:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lyon

Montpellier
1 - 4
Lyon

Coulibaly (38')
Coulibaly (29'), Delort (34'), Sainte-Luce (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mikautadze (3'), Nuamah (50'), Tolisso (53'), Lacazette (73')
Tagliafico (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Reims
Sunday, February 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-3 Lyon

After back-to-back defeats most recently, bottom side Montpellier will be dreading the arrival of top-four hopefuls Lyon on Sunday afternoon. Les Gones swept Reims aside with ease last weekend, and we feel that it could be a similar story for the Champions League chasers this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
18.48% (-0.628 -0.63) 20.54% (-0.1 -0.1) 60.98% (0.73 0.73)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.84 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96% (-0.554 -0.55)39.03% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (-0.582 -0.58)61.35% (0.584 0.58)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (-0.985 -0.98)34.6% (0.987 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (-1.059 -1.06)71.31% (1.061 1.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (0.036000000000001 0.04)12.38% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)38.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 18.48%
    Lyon 60.98%
    Draw 20.54%
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.48%
1-1 @ 9.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.35% (0.266 0.27)
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 6.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.51% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.61% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.4% (0.105 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 60.98%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lyon

Montpellier HSC
12.0%
Draw
16.0%
Lyon
72.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 16
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Fayad (90+1' og.)
Veretout (64'), Veretout (66')

Sagnan (50'), Maksimovic (64')
Feb 11, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Nordin (23')
Ferri (90')
Lacazette (74'), Caqueret (82')
Tagliafico (28'), Orban (90')
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (69')
Diomande (13'), Lepenant (29'), Barcola (45+4'), Tagliafico (83')
Lacazette (80')
Nordin (20'), Al Tamari (39', 66'), Adams (89')
Kouyate (51')
May 7, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')
Wahi (40', 41', 53', 55')
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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