Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier2 - 1Monaco
We said: Montpellier HSC 0-2 Monaco
It looks as though nothing will save Montpellier from this point, because not even home advantage aided them in a must-win clash last week. Monaco have been out of sorts themselves, but they have only lost eight of their 61 meetings against Montpellier in Ligue 1, and the gap between the clubs has never been larger. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
19.99% ( 0.29) | 20.75% ( 0.33) | 59.25% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
