Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 17, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 1
Monaco

Al Tamari (55', 82')
Mouanga (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kehrer (32')
Magassa (56'), Vanderson (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Angers
Sunday, January 12 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Monaco (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
19.99% ( 0.29)	20.75% ( 0.33)	59.25% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 59.32% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.34% (

-1.15)

37.66% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.1% (

-1.24)

59.9% (

1.24)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75% (

-0.39)

32.25% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.25% (

-0.44)

68.75% (

0.44)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.56% (

-0.53)

12.44% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.63% (

-1.12)

38.37% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 19.99%

Monaco 59.25%

Draw 20.75%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.99%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.75%	1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 6.85% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.57% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.99% Total : 59.25%