Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2025 at 8pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
1 - 0
Montpellier

Fayad (90+1' og.)
Veretout (64'), Veretout (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferri (53')
Sagnan (50'), Maksimovic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Puy 4-0 Montpellier
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
66.13% ( 1.7)	18.7% ( -0.53)	15.17% ( -1.18)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.46% (

0.13)

36.53% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.31% (

0.14)

58.68% (

-0.14)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71% (

0.46)

10.28% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.32% (

1.04)

33.68% (

-1.04)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07% (

-1.37)

36.93% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.28% (

-1.39)

73.72% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Lyon 66.13%

Montpellier HSC 15.17%

Draw 18.7%

Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.95% Total : 66.13%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.7%	1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.17%

How you voted: Lyon vs Montpellier

Lyon

86.3%

Draw

9.8%

Montpellier HSC

3.9%

Head to Head

Feb 11, 2024 4.05pm

Gameweek 21

Montpellier

1-2

Lyon

Nordin (23')
Ferri (90')

Lacazette (74'), Caqueret (82')
Tagliafico (28'), Orban (90')

> Preview

Aug 19, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 2

Lyon

1-4

Montpellier

Lacazette (69')
Diomande (13'), Lepenant (29'), Barcola (45+4'), Tagliafico (83')
Lacazette (80')

Nordin (20'), Al Tamari (39', 66'), Adams (89')
Kouyate (51')

> Preview

May 7, 2023 4.05pm

Gameweek 34

Lyon

5-4

Montpellier

Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')

Wahi (40', 41', 53', 55')

> Preview

Oct 22, 2022 4pm

Gameweek 12

Montpellier

1-2

Lyon

Wahi (70')

Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')

> Preview

Apr 23, 2022 4pm

Gameweek 34

Lyon

5-2

Montpellier

Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')

Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')

> Preview

Form Guide

Feignies-Aulnoye 1-2 Lyon

Le Puy 4-0 Montpellier

Montpellier 2-2 Nice

Lens 2-0 Montpellier

Montpellier 2-2 Lille

St Etienne 1-0 Montpellier

Montpellier 3-1 Brest

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	34	26	6	2	92	35	57	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	74	47	27	65
3	Monaco Monaco	34	18	7	9	63	41	22	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	66	41	25	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	52	36	16	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	65	46	19	57
7	Strasbourg Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	56	44	12	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	42	39	3	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	44	43	1	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	51	50	1	41
13	Nantes Nantes	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21	36
15	Le Havre Le Havre	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31	34
16	Reims	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14	33
R	Saint-Etienne St Etienne	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38	30
R	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56	16
					> Ligue 1 Full Table