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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier

Lyon
1 - 0
Montpellier

Fayad (90+1' og.)
Veretout (64'), Veretout (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sagnan (50'), Maksimovic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Puy 4-0 Montpellier
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lyon 3-0 Montpellier HSC

Nothing is certain in football, but Lyon have been in superb form and Montpellier hit rock bottom in their last outing, leaving the hosts as huge favourites for this one. Montpellier have lost five of their last six clashes with Lyon, and have lost every game away from home so far this season, so there is little down for Gasset's side here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
66.13% (1.704 1.7) 18.7% (-0.531 -0.53) 15.17% (-1.176 -1.18)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.935 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.46% (0.125 0.13)36.53% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.31% (0.136 0.14)58.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.71% (0.462 0.46)10.28% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.32% (1.04 1.04)33.68% (-1.044 -1.04)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (-1.374 -1.37)36.93% (1.372 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (-1.394 -1.39)73.72% (1.391 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 66.13%
    Montpellier HSC 15.17%
    Draw 18.7%
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.318 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.381 0.38)
3-1 @ 7.42% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.24% (0.295 0.3)
4-1 @ 4.22% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.169 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.101 0.1)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 3.78% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.17%

How you voted: Lyon vs Montpellier

Lyon
86.3%
Draw
9.8%
Montpellier HSC
3.9%
51
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Nordin (23')
Ferri (90')
Lacazette (74'), Caqueret (82')
Tagliafico (28'), Orban (90')
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (69')
Diomande (13'), Lepenant (29'), Barcola (45+4'), Tagliafico (83')
Lacazette (80')
Nordin (20'), Al Tamari (39', 66'), Adams (89')
Kouyate (51')
May 7, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')
Wahi (40', 41', 53', 55')
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
Apr 23, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
5-2
Montpellier
Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')
Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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