Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 58.9% ( | 22.07% ( | 19.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( | 45.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( | 14.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.59% ( | 43.41% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% ( | 37.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.63% ( | 74.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 5-1 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.88% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.03% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
