Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Nov 9, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Ferdi Petit

Lens
3 - 2
Nantes

Frankowski (21' pen.), Ojediran (86'), Thomasson (90')
Medina (35'), Labeau (45+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Simon (36' pen.), Cozza (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Lens
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Nantes
57.53% ( 0.32)	23.72% ( -0.04)	18.75% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 47.54% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.74% (

-0.25)

52.25% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.04% (

-0.21)

73.95% (

0.21)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

0.03)

17.95% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

0.05)

48.78% (

-0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.94% (

-0.47)

42.05% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.52% (

-0.41)

78.48% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Lens 57.52%

Nantes 18.75%

Draw 23.71%

Lens	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.52%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.71%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.75%