Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes0 - 1Lens
We said: Nantes 0-1 Lens
While history suggests Nantes have the upper hand in this contest, we believe the overall form of Lens and their balance across the board will enable them to end a lengthy winless drought versus La Maison Jaune at Stade de la Beaujoire. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
31.55% ( 1.57) | 26.92% ( -0.13) | 41.53% ( -1.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
