Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens2 - 0Reims
We said: Lens 2-1 Reims
It has been over 40 years since Reims defeated Lens in a top-flight contest (2-0 in March 1977), and given the visitors defensive vulnerabilities away from home recently and how sharp Lens have been at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, we expect to see another narrow victory for Les Sang et Or. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Reims |
49.94% ( -0.45) | 24.6% ( 0.16) | 25.45% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
