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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 11, 2025 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Waalwijk logo

Nijmegen
2 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Sano (46'), Linssen (90+2')
Ouaissa (65'), Sandler (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kramer (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-0 Heracles
Sunday, April 6 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-2 RKC Waalwijk

While NEC have been difficult to beat on their home patch, they have struggled to turn one point into three and have been leaky defensively, conceding two or more goals in each of their last four at Goffertstadion. RKC have been very poor this season, but they have taken something from three of their last five matches on the road, and we feel they may be able to earn a share of the spoils in this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 3-1 (6.53%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NEC in this match.

Result
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
53.75% (-0.88 -0.88) 21.03% (0.213 0.21) 25.22% (0.661 0.66)
Both teams to score 65.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.59% (-0.373 -0.37)32.41% (0.369 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.95% (-0.434 -0.43)54.04% (0.429 0.43)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (-0.377 -0.38)12.32% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.89% (-0.792 -0.79)38.11% (0.786 0.79)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.268 0.27)24.95% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4% (0.374 0.37)59.59% (-0.37799999999999 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    NEC 53.75%
    RKC Waalwijk 25.22%
    Draw 21.03%
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.53% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.53% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.37% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 8.93% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.07% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.03%
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 3% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk

NEC
54.5%
Draw
24.2%
RKC Waalwijk
21.2%
33
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 12
RKC Waalwijk
0-3
Nijmegen

Weidmann (45+1')
Weidmann (45+2')
Ogawa (68'), Ouaissa (74'), Marquez (90')
van Crooij (45+1')
Feb 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 21
RKC Waalwijk
2-0
Nijmegen
Min (7', 22' pen.)
Meijers (51'), Meijers (51'), Lelieveld (90+4')

Nuytinck (63'), Sandler (67'), Proper (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nijmegen
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
Nijmegen
Anita (61')
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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