

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 3-1 (6.53%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NEC in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 53.75% ( | 21.03% ( | 25.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.59% ( | 32.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.95% ( | 54.04% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.68% ( | 12.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.89% ( | 38.11% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( | 24.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.4% ( | 59.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-2 @ 4.53% ( 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-3 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 5-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.75% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 2-3 @ 3% ( 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
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