Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 74.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 74.88% ( | 14.7% ( | 10.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.05% ( | 28.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.09% ( | 49.9% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.49% ( | 6.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.71% ( | 24.28% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( | 38.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.37% ( | 75.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 3-0 @ 8.6% ( 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 4-0 @ 5.88% ( 4-1 @ 5.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 5-0 @ 3.21% ( 5-1 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 2.62% ( 6-0 @ 1.46% ( 5-2 @ 1.43% ( 6-1 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 4.47% Total : 74.89% | 1-1 @ 6.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 14.7% | 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0-1 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0-2 @ 1.13% ( 1-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 10.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 61 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 32 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 34 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 30 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 19 |
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