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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Waalwijk logo

Ajax
2 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Berghuis (4' pen.), Taylor (41')
Wijndal (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ihattaren (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, December 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 RKC Waalwijk

 Despite dropping points during the run-in to the end of 2024, Ajax were excellent at home across the entire first half of the season. The hosts have dominated this fixture, winning each of the last 12 top-flight matches against RKC, and we feel they will secure another fairly comfortable victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.38%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 4.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
86.38% (0.733 0.73) 9.41% (-0.4551 -0.46) 4.21% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.58% (0.983 0.98)27.42% (-0.985 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.98% (1.226 1.23)48.02% (-1.227 -1.23)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.75% (0.285 0.28)4.25% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.33% (0.895 0.89)17.67% (-0.897 -0.9)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.61% (-0.332 -0.33)54.39% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.49% (-0.204 -0.2)87.51% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 86.36%
    RKC Waalwijk 4.21%
    Draw 9.41%
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
3-0 @ 12.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-0 @ 9.58% (0.23 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.285 -0.28)
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.195 -0.2)
5-0 @ 6.05% (0.268 0.27)
4-1 @ 5.84% (0.083 0.08)
5-1 @ 3.69% (0.128 0.13)
6-0 @ 3.19% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.94% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.44% (0.12 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 86.36%
1-1 @ 4.45% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 2.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 9.41%
0-1 @ 1.41% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 1.35% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 4.21%

How you voted: Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk

Ajax
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
RKC Waalwijk
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
RKC Waalwijk
0-2
Ajax

van Gelderen (20'), Meijers (57')
Traore (76'), Godts (90+4')
Brobbey (36')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
4-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (9', 35'), Hlynsson (64'), Berghuis (87')
Tahirovic (38')
Kramer (15')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
RKC Waalwijk
2-3
Ajax
Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax24193252183460
2PSV EindhovenPSV24164473294452
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2413744336746
4Feyenoord24128448272144
5FC Twente24127549311843
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2411584338538
8Heerenveen2486103043-1330
9Fortuna SittardSittard2485113142-1129
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11Heracles246993245-1327
12NAC BredaNAC Breda2483132642-1627
13NECNijmegen2475123434026
14PEC Zwolle2467112939-1025
15Willem II2466122638-1224
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2458112333-1023
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2435161548-3314
> Eredivisie Full Table


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