

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
| 30.93% ( | 24.71% ( | 44.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( | 45.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( | 68.07% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( | 27.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.44% ( | 63.56% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( | 20.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.69% ( | 53.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.93% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 61 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 32 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 34 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 30 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 19 |
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