Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.