Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
May 9, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz4 - 2Salzburg
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: BW Linz 0-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
60
Last Game: Salzburg 2-0 Austria Vienna
Sunday, May 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, May 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sturm Graz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
36.11% (![]() | 24.43% (![]() | 39.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% (![]() | 43.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% (![]() | 65.43% (![]() |
Sturm Graz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% (![]() | 23.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.41% (![]() | 57.59% (![]() |
Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% (![]() | 21.82% (![]() |