The Match
Match Report
Super subs Stina Blackstenius and Beth Mead make the difference as Arsenal shock Barcelona 1-0 to win the Women's Champions League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 4-3 Man Utd
Saturday, May 10 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Saturday, May 10 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
62
Last Game: Chelsea 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Women's Champions League
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Women's Champions League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 62 | 2.82 | Russo |
| 2 | Chelsea | 56 | 2.55 | Beever-Jones |
| 3 | Man City | 49 | 2.23 | Shaw |
| 4 | Man Utd | 41 | 1.86 | Terland |
| 5 | West Ham | 36 | 1.64 | Martinez |
| 6 | Brighton | 35 | 1.59 | Kirby |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 32 | 1.45 | Daly |
| 8 | Spurs | 26 | 1.18 | England |
| 9 | Everton | 24 | 1.09 | Gago |
| 10 | Liverpool | 22 | 1.00 | Smith |
| 11 | Leicester | 21 | 0.95 | Cayman |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 0.91 | Blanchard |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 58.82%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 2-1 (5.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
22.57% ( -1.31) | 18.6% ( -0.09) | 58.82% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 71.91% ( -1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
