MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 16:57:30| >> :120:4886:4886:
Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2025 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
3 - 0
Real Madrid

Russo (46', 59'), Caldentey (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

Alessia Russo hits a brace as Arsenal pull off an incredible comeback to defeat Real Madrid 3-2 on aggregate in the Women's Champions League quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Real Madrid Femenino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 22 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, March 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Chelsea472.76Beever-Jones
2Arsenal452.65Russo
3Man City382.24Shaw
4Man Utd342.00Terland
5Brighton251.47Kirby
6West Ham231.35Asseyi
7Spurs201.18England
8Everton181.06Gago
9Liverpool171.00Smith
10Aston Villa160.94Daly
11Crystal Palace150.88Blanchard
12Leicester130.76Cayman

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Real Madrid Femenino win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
64.47% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 19.24% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 16.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)36.83% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)59% (0.055 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)10.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.2% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)34.81% (0.07 0.07)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.021999999999991 0.02)35.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.5% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 64.47%
    Real Madrid Femenino 16.3%
    Draw 19.24%
Arsenal WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 64.47%
1-1 @ 8.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.24%
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 16.3%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Real Madrid

Arsenal Women
68.6%
Draw
7.1%
Real Madrid Femenino
24.3%
70
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2025 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
2-0
Arsenal
Caicedo (22'), Del Castillo (82')
Rodriguez (90+4'), Carmona (90+1')

Kelly (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool37258485404583
2Arsenal371914467333471
3Manchester CityMan City37208970442668
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
5Chelsea37199963432066
6Aston Villa3719995849966
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton37151396258458
9Brentford37167146556955
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3714111256461053
12Crystal Palace371313115050052
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37125205368-1541
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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