Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 18, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3
Real Madrid2 - 0Arsenal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, December 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Tuesday, December 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Everton 1-3 Arsenal
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
41
We said: Real Madrid Femenino 1-2 Arsenal Women
Real Madrid will be desperate to establish a first-leg lead ahead of next week's trip to the Emirates Stadium, but we think that they could experience disappointment when they face Arsenal on Tuesday. The Gunners won their final five group games to seal a quarter-final spot, and we think that they will pick up from where they left off in the group phase by claiming a narrow win in the Spanish capital. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid Femenino | Draw | Arsenal Women |
31.51% ( -0.13) | 22.4% ( 0.02) | 46.09% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.83% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
