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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 19, 2025 at 2pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal
5 - 0
Crystal Palace

Williamson (6'), Russo (63'), Mead (67'), Caldentey (75' pen., 90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Potter (84'), Nolan (90+4'), Nolan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Crystal Palace Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Crystal Palace Women

All competitions
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Man Utd
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Crystal Palace Women

 Slegers will be keen to claim a win in her first game since being confirmed as Arsenal's permanent head coach, and we think the Gunners will deliver the perfect result by easing to victory over relegation-threatened Palace, especially as the hosts have won each of their last five competitive home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 85.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 4.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 4-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 0-1 (1.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
85.06% (0.642 0.64) 10.13% (-0.451 -0.45) 4.81% (-0.1851 -0.19)
Both teams to score 45.44% (0.803 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.06% (1.62 1.62)27.94% (-1.614 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.33% (1.991 1.99)48.67% (-1.985 -1.99)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.45% (0.39999999999999 0.4)4.55% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.38% (1.202 1.2)18.62% (-1.198 -1.2)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.61% (0.648 0.65)52.39% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.74% (0.418 0.42)86.26% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 85.05%
    Crystal Palace Women 4.82%
    Draw 10.13%
Arsenal WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
3-0 @ 11.72% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 11.38% (-0.47 -0.47)
4-0 @ 9.05% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.517 -0.52)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.85% (0.189 0.19)
5-0 @ 5.59% (0.223 0.22)
5-1 @ 3.62% (0.21 0.21)
6-0 @ 2.88% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.095 0.1)
6-1 @ 1.86% (0.155 0.16)
7-0 @ 1.27% (0.115 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 85.05%
1-1 @ 4.76% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-0 @ 2.39% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 10.13%
0-1 @ 1.54% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-2 @ 1.54% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 4.82%

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