World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadion Kraj Bistrice

Montenegro
3 - 1
Gibraltar

Jovetic (22'), Tuci (70'), Marusic (73')
Jankovic (67'), Vukcevic (71'), Sipcic (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bent (13')
De Barr (56'), Bent (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Montenegro and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Last Game: Montenegro 3-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Gibraltar

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Moldova
Tuesday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 3-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Gibraltar
78.23% ( 1.81)	14.97% ( -1.11)	6.8% ( -0.71)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Montenegro	Draw	Gibraltar
2-0 @ 15.08% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.7) 3-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.27) 5-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.41) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 78.22%	1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.37% Total : 14.97%	0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.93% Total : 6.8%