World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Wales
3 - 1
Kazakhstan

James (9'), Davies (47'), Matondo (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tagybergen (32' pen.)
Samorodov (42'), Chesnokov (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Wales and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

Last Game: Wales 4-1 Iceland
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Curacao
Wednesday, March 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 86.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 3.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.63%) and 1-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.49%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
Wales	Draw	Kazakhstan
86.97% ( 1.29)	9.75% ( -0.88)	3.28% ( -0.42)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Wales	Draw	Kazakhstan
2-0 @ 15.26% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 14.63% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.65) 4-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.54) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.14) 6-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.36) 5-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.13) 7-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 86.94%	1-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 9.75%	0-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.77% Total : 3.28%