UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Iceland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Wales national football team

Iceland
2 - 2
Wales

Tomasson (69'), Ward (72' og.)
Teitur Thordarson (28'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (32')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Johnson (11'), Wilson (29')
Johnson (32'), Roberts (41'), Moore (51'), James (59'), Ward (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Iceland and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Iceland
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Wales

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Wales
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
IcelandDrawWales
33.59% (0.052999999999997 0.05)29.48% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.93% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.45% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.5% (-0.146 -0.15)63.49% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17% (-0.105 -0.11)82.82% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)35.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (-0.044 -0.04)71.95% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-0.142 -0.14)32.95% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (-0.156 -0.16)69.53% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Iceland 33.59%
    Wales 36.93%
    Draw 29.47%
IcelandDrawWales
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 33.59%
1-1 @ 13.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.59% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.47%
0-1 @ 12.87% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.93%

How you voted: Iceland vs Wales

Iceland
32.0%
Draw
31.4%
Wales
36.6%
153
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Wales
3-1
Iceland
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!