We said: Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 Rapid Vienna
With Champions League qualification still a possibility, Red Bull Salzburg will be desperate to salvage something from a disappointing campaign.
Rapid Vienna will have one eye on their upcoming Conference League playoff, meaning that a heavy defeat could be on the menu at Red Bull Arena.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.