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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 at 4pm UK
Allianz Stadion

Rapid Vienna
3 - 1
Sturm Graz

Bolla (20', 78'), Burgstaller (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Grgic (66')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Rapid Vienna and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 4-2 Salzburg
Friday, May 9 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Vienna would win this match.

Result
Rapid ViennaDrawSturm Graz
48.7% (0.643 0.64) 24.44% (-0.34 -0.34) 26.86% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.851 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (1.239 1.24)46.92% (-1.245 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (1.145 1.15)69.17% (-1.151 -1.15)
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (0.75700000000001 0.76)19.33% (-0.763 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.9% (1.234 1.23)51.09% (-1.24 -1.24)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.41199999999999 0.41)31.43% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (0.476 0.48)67.81% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Rapid Vienna 48.7%
    Sturm Graz 26.86%
    Draw 24.43%
Rapid ViennaDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.159 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.324 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz

Rapid Vienna
45.5%
Draw
9.1%
Sturm Graz
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2025 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sturm Graz
2-0
Rapid Vienna
Boving (18'), Grgic (90')
Johnston (34'), Horvat (51')

Cvetkovic (63'), Beljo (68'), Maximilian Scholler (84')
Nov 2, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 12
Sturm Graz
1-1
Rapid Vienna
Yardimci (82')
Aiwu (79'), Bischof (90+4'), Chukwuani (90+4')
Beljo (90' pen.)
Chukwuani (90+3')
Sangare (39')
Aug 4, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 1
Rapid Vienna
1-0
Sturm Graz
Beljo (29')
Beljo (17'), Sangare (66'), Burgstaller (90+3')

Lavalee (51'), Gorenc Stankovic (53'), Gazibegovic (82')
Apr 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Rapid Vienna
1-3
Sturm Graz
Mayulu (19')
Auer (53')
Horvat (8'), Gazibegovic (29'), Kiteishvili (44')
Lavalee (69'), Schnegg (84')
Apr 19, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Sturm Graz
1-0
Rapid Vienna
Biereth (79')
Affengruber (90+6')

Kerschbaum (77'), Grull (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Sturm Graz32196766392740
2Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg32169753361738
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna32186847321537
4Wolfsberger32167960382237
5Rapid Vienna32128124342127
6BW Linz32115163745-821
Relegation Round
1LASK LinzLASK321661051361538
2Hartberg321111104040031
3Grazer AKGrazer32513143454-2020
4WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski3279163550-1520
5Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach32511162946-1718
6Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt3269173370-3716
 
Regular Season
1Sturm Graz22144451282346
2Austria ViennaAustria Vienna22144436191746
3Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg22108433221138
4Wolfsberger22113844301436
5Rapid Vienna229763224834
6BW Linz2210393029133
7LASK LinzLASK229493233-131
8Hartberg226882431-726
9Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt2256112244-2221
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski2247112031-1119
11Grazer AKGrazer2237122745-1816
12Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach2237122035-1516


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